According to a report by consultancy Wood Mackenzie, a five-year delay in decarbonization efforts could raise global average temperatures by 3 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels.
This delay could also result in a 55% decrease in global average spending.
”With half of the global population heading to polls in 2024, political realities and climate scepticism in the major emitting countries, such as the US and Europe, could reduce the support for the transition as voters seek economic security and price stability,” said Prakash Sharma, vice president, scenarios and technologies at Wood Mackenzie.
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Wood Mackenzie released its latest energy transition outlook in September 2023.
Since then, political uncertainties, inflation, and global elections have increased the risks associated with delays in transitioning to low-carbon energy.
During the UN climate talks last year, countries committed to reducing global fossil fuel consumption to achieve net zero emissions by 2050. They had previously agreed to limit global warming to within 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial temperatures.
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A five-year delay in transitioning to low-carbon energy sources could cause annual average spending to drop to $1.7 trillion, which is 55% lower than what Wood Mackenzie estimates is necessary to achieve net zero emissions by 2050.