In a reassuring turn of events, a sale of UK green bonds on Tuesday witnessed the highest level of oversubscription in four years, dispelling fears of a bond market rout that plagued gilts last month.
The Debt Management Office’s offering of £2.5 billion ($3.1 billion) in 30-year debt received an overwhelming response, with bids totaling £7.636 billion — marking a record level of demand. Investors rushed to secure high yields ahead of anticipated interest-rate hikes by the Bank of England, which is poised to reverse a rapid series of increases.
Interest in longer tenors has already reached unprecedented levels, as evidenced by a record oversubscription rate for 20-year securities offered a month ago. With no further issuance of 30-year bonds expected this financial year, the opportunity to acquire a substantial portion is rapidly diminishing. The Bank of England aims to tap into this demand by conducting operations to offload long-maturity bonds as part of its quantitative tightening measures by the end of March.
Recent data from the central bank indicates that foreign investors significantly increased their holdings of gilts in December, while domestic accounts turned into net sellers for the first time in four months.
The surge in UK bond yields last month followed an unexpected rise in inflation, prompting traders to reassess expectations for BOE interest rate cuts. Despite a slight decrease, yields on 30-year UK debt remained close to a two-month high at 4.61%. Money markets are currently pricing in three quarter-point interest rate cuts this year, with a 30% probability of a fourth cut.