Energy ministers, oil executives and green investors gathered this week to celebrate 50 years since the formation of the International Energy Agency to strengthen clean transitions and accelerate a green future.
The energy watchdog has shifted focus from traditional oil and gas security to supporting renewables and climate action.
However, some at the meeting feel this undermines its role as a neutral energy authority.
OPEC Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais said this week regarding the IEA’s forecast, “Oil and gas will continue to be a major component of the energy pie, that will continue to grow in future years after 2045.”
OPEC stopped using IEA data in its assessments of oil markets in 2022.
IEA member governments have their energy analysis teams but rely on IEA recommendations for policy guidance.
Some experts see a problem in the overlap between impartial data analysis and renewable policy advocacy.
John E. Paisie, president of Stratas Advisors LLC in Houston, said, “IEA forecasts now appear to be too optimistic with respect to how fast the transition away from hydrocarbons can take place.”
“The forecasts, however, are still useful because (they) provide a view of the future that illustrates the potential effect of decarbonization policies,” Paisie added.