A new report titled “Sustainable aviation fuel is the way forward for aviation industry,” published by Research And Markets, provides an overview of the decarbonization challenges in the global commercial aviation sector. The report details the potential role of sustainable aviation fuels (SAFs) in reducing emissions.
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Organizations such as the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) and the International Air Transport Association (IATA) have targeted reaching net-zero emissions by 2050. SAFs have been identified as a key technology for achieving this. Numerous airlines have also committed to net-zero emissions by 2050 and aimed to increase SAF usage to 10% by 2030.
Several countries, including the UK and Japan, have announced ambitious SAF mandates to address the aviation industry’s decarbonization needs, targeting a 10% SAF blend by 2030.
SAF is projected to surpass 6,000 million gallons per year by the end of the decade, with a compound annual growth rate of 49.8% from 2018 to 2030.
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The US is expected to be the primary market for both SAF supply and demand. North America is projected to dominate the SAF market by 2030, accounting for 39% of global supply at 10.8 Mt annual SAF production.
Leading fuel production companies such as Neste, Gevo, and World Energy are expected to lead in SAF production by 2030.
The report notes that the SAF Certificate Registry, launched at COP28, will enable companies to purchase credible SAF certificates. It adds that key oil and gas players in the SAF market will change, with new entrants like Oriental Energy displacing current leaders like China Petrochemical Corp by 2030.