Following its emergence as the leading global market for green bond sales in the fourth quarter of 2023, China is anticipated to witness a surge in green bond issuance in 2024, driven by ambitious domestic policies and favorable financial conditions.
According to data from the Climate Bonds Initiative, international green bond sales in China soared to $21.83 billion in the last quarter of 2023, marking a remarkable 131% increase quarter over quarter. This surge propelled the United States into second place with sales of $12.87 billion, while Germany secured the third spot with $7.14 billion in sales.
John Hai, head of global debt finance at CITIC CLSA, highlighted the momentum in issuance, attributing it to China’s imperative to support its economy through green initiatives amidst the anticipated easing of overseas financial conditions later in 2024.
China’s ambitious climate policies, aiming for carbon neutrality by 2060 and peak carbon dioxide emissions by 2030, have been instrumental in driving the surge in green bond issuance. As the world’s largest emitter of greenhouse gases, China’s commitment to transitioning to a green, low-carbon, and circular economy is evident.
Andrew Chew, director of sustainable finance at ING APAC, emphasized the significance of China’s role in the global effort to triple renewable energy capacity by 2030. Chew noted that financing this monumental task would rely heavily on green bond markets, especially in the solar and wind power sectors, where China is leading.
However, despite the overall surge in green bond issuance, there were fluctuations throughout 2023, influenced by factors such as volatility in the real estate sector.
Issues like the challenges faced by real estate developers, including the situation with China Evergrande Group, contributed to market uncertainty. Yet, the fourth quarter of 2023 saw a temporary respite in financial uncertainty, enabling a window for green bond issuers to tap into the market, further boosting issuance.
With China’s steadfast commitment to green initiatives and the continued evolution of favorable financial conditions, analysts anticipate a robust continuation of green bond issuance in the country throughout 2024, consolidating its position as a global leader in sustainable finance.