A recent analysis titled “The hidden cost of delaying climate action for West Coast insurance markets” has highlighted potential billion-dollar losses for insurance companies if they continue investing in activities that fuel climate change. The findings were part of the first-ever “stress test” of insurance company investments.
Also read: Over half investors planning increased allocations in sustainable investments: Morgan Stanley survey
The analysis showed that across sectors (coal, oil & gas, power, and automotive), expected bond losses range from $7 to $28 billion, even if there is a rapid transition in 2026.
However, if the transition is delayed by just eight years (to 2034), these losses will more than double, ranging between $14 and nearly $40 billion. This magnitude of losses is comparable to the 2017 California wildfires, which caused around $22.7 billion in damages.
“Insurance consumers need a sustainable marketplace with many options to meet their needs,” said California Insurance Commissioner Ricardo Lara in a release. “Our report shows that even with the growing threats of climate change, insurance companies that evolve to meet the needs of a transition towards zero-carbon energy and low-carbon technology will position themselves for growth to better serve consumers, while those that do not face significant losses.”
Key findings:
Insurance companies’ corporate bond portfolios have greater exposure to climate risk than their equity portfolios.
Insurance firms invest significantly in transition technologies, such as producing renewable power capacity.
There is variation among insurers in the exposure of investments to fossil fuel extraction, with some holding as much as 95% of their corporate bond portfolio and 30% of their listed equity portfolio in assets vulnerable to climate impacts.
Life insurers have the most value invested in the oil & gas extraction sector ($150 billion) and the power sector ($100 billion) from the analyzed assets. On the other hand, property and casualty insurers have the smallest share of their listed equity portfolio value in oil & gas extraction (~1%). Yet this still amounts to $6 billion in assets.
Also read: Disconnect between climate risks and investment strategies: Report
“This analysis is a critical step forward as we build capacity to understand and address climate risks to the insurance sector. As insurance regulators, we need to keep pace with an evolving market,” said Washington State Insurance Commissioner Mike Kreidler. “Insurance companies should be using available tools to also keep pace with the future of our economy. I look forward to continuing to work and innovate with our state regulator colleagues and partners.”
“Continuous efforts to measure and understand climate-related risks and opportunities highlight the commitment of the financial supervisory authority to secure the financial stability of the insurance sector,” said Kaitlin Crouch-Hess, Executive Director of Climate Finance for RMI, which stewards the Paris Agreement Captial Transition Assessment (PACTA) tool that was used in the study. “We expect the results of this exercise to have a ripple effect and motivate not only insurance companies but broader financial regulatory bodies to embrace continuous commitment towards climate alignment assessments.”