Opinion polls suggest 2024 EU elections could make climate policies harder
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The upcoming European Parliament election might complicate the approval of ambitious climate change policies if, as recent polls indicate, takes a “sharp right turn.”
In June, EU citizens will vote for a new EU parliament consisting of 705 lawmakers who, along with representatives from member countries, decide on new EU policies and laws.
The election is anticipated to result in more seats for populist, right-wing parties and potential setbacks for center-left and green parties.
This shift could lead to the formation of an “anti-climate policy action” coalition in the Parliament, as outlined in a study commissioned by the European Council on Foreign Relations think-tank.
“This would significantly undermine the EU’s Green Deal framework and the adoption and enforcement of common policies to meet the EU’s net zero targets,” the study said.
The study merged opinion polls from all EU member states using a statistical model that assessed the historical performance of national parties in past EU elections.
However, the method carries uncertainties, especially in predicting how certain national political parties will align in the EU Parliament.
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