A research team from Peking University’s Institute of Carbon Neutrality has unveiled insights into China’s carbon removal potential through forestation. Published in Nature Communications, the study was led by Professor Piao Shilong and co-authored by He Yue and Thomas Gasser.
Using Land to Combat Carbon Emissions
The research, thus, indicates the capacity of China to absorb carbon dioxide through land use, land-use change, and forestry (LULUCF). The sector is critical for achieving China’s carbon-neutral goal by 2060. The team, through the employment of OSCAR-China-Projection model, which caters to the specific needs of China, made the provision of data precise for policymakers.
Transforming Land Use Changes into Carbon Sinks
China’s current forestation efforts, which focus on planting and restoring forests, have turned land-use changes into significant carbon sinks. According to the study, these activities absorb more carbon than they emit. The research suggests that sustained afforestation could remove a substantial portion of emissions from challenging sectors like energy and industry.
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If afforestation continues at the current rate, forests could eliminate one-third of the emissions from hard-to-abate sectors by 2060.
Challenges Beyond 2035
However, the study warns that as available land for new forests diminishes, the effectiveness of forestry in sequestering carbon will decline. This slowdown is expected to occur after the mid-century, emphasizing the importance of a long-term strategy.
Extending Targets for Maximum Impact
The research underscores the need to expand forestation efforts beyond 2035, the deadline for China’s current forestation targets. Continued efforts in forestry can maximize the carbon removal potential of the LULUCF sector.
These results push policymakers to embrace sustainable and future-focused strategies to ensure China is well on its way to attaining ambitious carbon neutrality goals. By implementing innovative and enhanced forestation programs, the country can play a critical role in combating climate change.