The Expert Council on Climate Issues said Germany is unlikely to meet its 2030 greenhouse gas targets. Germany had aimed to cut 65% of greenhouse gas emissions by 2030 compared to 1990.
Sectors such as transport and construction are struggling to meet their targets.
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The council’s chairman, Hans-Martin Henning, said in a statement, “After reviewing the data, the Expert Council confirms that total emissions will decrease substantially by 2030, albeit probably less sharply than determined in the projection data. We consider the projected emissions in the energy, buildings, and transport sectors as well as—with restrictions—in industry to be underestimated.”
In April 2024, Germany introduced a more flexible climate protection law that gives leeway to underperforming sectors such as transport.
However, Reuters reported that the Climate Protection Act will require the government to take corrective measures for the 2030 target if the Expert Council on Climate Issues confirms its findings in its next annual report in 2025.
In March, Climate Protection Minister Robert Habeck, citing data from the Federal Environment Agency (UBA), said Germany was on track to meet its climate targets for the first time after emissions fell by 10% in 2023.
However, the council said the estimates for almost all economic sectors were too optimistic. It added that Germany will not be on track even after 2030, jeopardizing its goal of becoming climate-neutral by 2045.
“Against this backdrop, we recommend not waiting for the target to be missed again, but instead considering the implementation of additional measures,” Deputy Chair Brigitte Knopf said in a statement.